SigningLab · Annual Report

Signing Accuracy — Serie A 2025/26

Published on January 12, 2026

Executive Summary

249
Real signings
228
Evaluated
38%
Clubs' average hit rate
40
Successful
119
Unsuccessful

In total we identified 249 real signings by the clubs of Serie A in the 2025/26 season — academy promotions, loan returns, internal moves and transfers that never went through are excluded. Of these, 228 are included in the hit-rate calculation; 21 are youth investments (under-23 with no game time), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes in the season count as unsuccessful.

League Analysis

Champions Inter posted a hit rate of 70% on signings (5 evaluated), holding 1st place in the accuracy ranking. The bottom four in the table had an average hit rate of 21% on signings — below the league average (38%), highlighting the link between recruitment quality and sporting performance.

Inter leads the accuracy ranking with 70% and Torino closes the list with 12%. p. over the clubs' decisions).

Club Ranking

ClubLeague positionSigningsEvaluatedSuccessfulFairUnsuccessfulHit rate %SigningLab*
1Inter65311
70%
100%
2Napoli119522
67%
78%
3AC Milan1010532
65%
90%
4Como1211533
59%
100%
5Cagliari14º99342
56%
89%
6Juventus66222
50%
67%
7Lazio33111
50%
67%
8Bologna98233
44%
100%
9Atalanta77223
43%
100%
10Udinese10º87133
36%
100%
11Sassuolo11º21194411
32%
79%
12Hellas Verona19º1513085
31%
100%
13Genoa16º109216
28%
89%
14AS Roma1212147
25%
83%
15Cremonese18º32302919
22%
87%
16Fiorentina15º1313058
19%
100%
17Parma12º1311128
18%
73%
18Pisa20º28241617
17%
96%
19Lecce17º1210037
15%
70%
20Torino13º1212039
12%
67%

* SigningLab: hit rate of SigningLab’s verdicts (recommend or not recommend) on each club’s evaluated signings, projected at the time of signing.

The difference between Signings and Evaluated are youth investments (under-23 with no game time in the season), classified separately. Signings without relevant minutes are unsuccessful (Did not deliver).

Season Highlights

The ten signings with the greatest technical impact of the season, according to the Player Impact Score (PIS).

PlayerClubPosMinG+AAvg ratingRatingSigningLab
Adrien RabiotAC MilanM25506+47.24Excellent
Donyell MalenAS RomaF147814+27.24Excellent
Luka ModrićAC MilanM28212+37.13Excellent
Arijanet MurićSassuoloG28800+06.03Excellent
Leo ØstigårdGenoaD26235+16.78Excellent
Jacobo NaverosComoD27432+06.96Excellent
Manuel AkanjiInterD28202+06.74Excellent
Martin BaturinaComoM15916+35.59Excellent
Samuele RicciAC MilanM13051+45.62Excellent
Kevin De BruyneNapoliM11695+27.04Good

Methodology

Club assessment — the universe of signings

The report considers exclusively genuine signings for the first-team squad, identified by the player's effective incorporation into the group between seasons. Excluded from the universe are: academy promotions, loan returns, internal administrative moves and transfers recorded but never completed. The aim is to measure the quality of market decisions — and those alone.

Player Impact Score (PIS)

Each evaluated signing receives a score from 0 to 100 that combines four observable technical dimensions: individual performance (average match ratings over the season), output (goals, assists and decisive actions adjusted for game time), collective performance (starting status and correlation with the club's results) and availability (volume of matches, adjusted for interruptions). High-impact players with reduced game time are promoted through an alternative efficiency criterion.

Outcome classification

The rating tiers are: Excellent and Good (successful signings — a full point in the index), Fair (intermediate performance — half a point) and Below expectations / Did not deliver (unsuccessful signings). Two categories sit outside the calculation, for distinct reasons: Injury (a serious injury prevented a fair assessment) and Investment (an under-23 player with low game time — the return depends on development and cannot be counted for or against the club in this cycle). Signings that did not reach relevant game time in the season are classified as unsuccessful, reflecting the sporting cost of the decision.

A note on scope

This is SigningLab's public, simplified model, developed for transparent retrospective market assessment. SigningLab's commercial solutions for partner clubs use a substantially larger set of variables and dedicated predictive mechanisms, and are not fully reflected in this document.

Appendix — Signings by club

* Youth investment (under-23, no game time in the season) — outside the hit-rate calculation.

AC Milan (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Luka Modrić36282123Excellent
Adrien Rabiot29255064Excellent
Koni De Winter38180511Fair
Christopher Nkunku33137773Good
Samuele Ricci38130514Excellent
Pervis Estupiñán33104611Below expectations
Zachary Athekame3585022Fair
Ardon Jashari3070601Good
Niclas Füllkrug2264710Fair
Pietro Terracciano3612400Did not deliver

AS Roma (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Wesley Vinícius França Lima30245750Fair
Donyell Malen181478142Excellent
Daniele Ghilardi38108900Fair
Neil El Aynaoui3099612Fair
Evan Ferguson1977632Fair
Konstantinos Tsimikas3564400Below expectations
Robinio Vaz1722110Below expectations
Lorenzo Venturino1621100Did not deliver
Leon Bailey818200Did not deliver
Bryan Zaragoza1113501Did not deliver
Pierluigi Gollini32000Did not deliver
Devis Vásquez23000Did not deliver

Atalanta (7 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Nicola Zalewski36191024Fair
Nikola Krstović381786105Good
Lorenzo Bernasconi33157203Fair
Honest Ahanor36138000Below expectations
Kamaldeen Sulemana34100821Below expectations
Giacomo Raspadori1479131Good
Yunus Musah3656810Below expectations

Bologna (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Torbjørn Heggem33211300Fair
Nadir Zortea38181802Fair
Jon Rowe36161132Fair
Martin Vitík32132400Below expectations
Federico Bernardeschi31122242Good
João Mário1574110Good
Simon Sohm1772000Did not deliver
Ciro Immobile1019100Did not deliver
Ibrahim Sulemana *154900Investment

Cagliari (9 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Marco Palestra37308414Good
Sebastiano Esposito37269975Good
Michael Folorunsho27200820Fair
Zé Pedro27171301Fair
Gennaro Borrelli29127351Below expectations
Semih Kılıçsoy3798340Fair
Luca Mazzitelli2878522Fair
Riyad Idrissi2878120Did not deliver
Andrea Belotti1123320Good

Como (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jacobo Naveros33274320Excellent
Diego Carlos35194810Good
Jesus Rodriguez34173429Fair
Martin Baturina37159163Excellent
Álvaro Morata2993201Fair
Jayden Addai1868830Fair
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn3765511Good
Stefan Posch1940610Good
Ivan Azón *1000Investment
Noel Törnqvist21000Did not deliver
Nikola Čavlina32000Did not deliver
Mauro Vigorito37000Did not deliver

Cremonese (32 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Emil Audero36306000Fair
Filippo Terracciano36301220Fair
Giuseppe Pezzella31259101Did not deliver
Federico Baschirotto30254120Good
Federico Bonazzoli372524101Fair
Jamie Vardy30210772Fair
Jari Vandeputte35195215Good
Warren Bondo30176900Below expectations
Alberto Grassi33175400Below expectations
Tommaso Barbieri34171301Below expectations
Alessio Zerbin34165503Below expectations
Martín Payero29145910Fair
Sebastiano Luperto15131001Fair
Romano Floriani36118501Did not deliver
Youssef Maleh14110610Below expectations
Antonio Sanabria3094011Below expectations
Francesco Folino3773810Below expectations
Morten Thorsby1364410Fair
Franco Vázquez2052912Fair
Federico Ceccherini3548901Fair
Milan Đurić1639401Below expectations
Dennis Johnsen2139011Below expectations
Michele Collocolo1236300Did not deliver
Marco Silvestri3836000Did not deliver
Mikayil Faye2925000Did not deliver
Jeremy Sarmiento *1314300Investment
Faris Moumbagna148800Did not deliver
Manuel De Luca21910Did not deliver
Mattia Valoti12000Did not deliver
Lapo Nava *38000Investment
Paulo Azzi0000Did not deliver
Francesco Gelli0000Did not deliver

Fiorentina (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Roberto Piccoli35169841Did not deliver
Jack Harrison1797913Fair
Manor Solomon1690321Fair
Marco Brescianini1886611Below expectations
Simon Sohm2071801Below expectations
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia2159101Fair
Jacopo Fazzini3059000Did not deliver
Giovanni Fabbian1746600Did not deliver
Daniele Rugani1332800Fair
Mattia Viti1726700Did not deliver
Edin Džeko1725000Fair
Tariq Lamptey23200Did not deliver
Luca Lezzerini34300Did not deliver

Genoa (10 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Mikael Ellertsson37277711Below expectations
Leo Østigård32262351Excellent
Lorenzo Colombo38235371Below expectations
Justin Bijlow17139500Good
Amorim1556100Fair
Tommaso Baldanzi940102Below expectations
Valentín Carboni1836000Did not deliver
Nicolae Stanciu1619000Did not deliver
Nils Zätterström *1718100Investment
Albert Grønbæk1410700Did not deliver

Hellas Verona (15 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Victor Nelsson38331500Fair
Roberto Gagliardini30221610Fair
Gift Orban29203672Fair
Rafik Belghali27192620Fair
Giovane21154134Below expectations
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro23150710Below expectations
Armel Bella-Kotchap24135500Fair
Unai Núñez18126500Fair
Kieron Bowie14120440Fair
Mutassim Al-Musrati2984701Fair
Sandi Lovrić836600Below expectations
Pol Lirola1431300Did not deliver
Enzo Ebosse2321400Did not deliver
Isaac *193700Investment
Jesús Santiago *141100Investment

Inter (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Manuel Akanji35282020Excellent
Petar Sučić37178322Good
Luís Henrique37162712Fair
Ange-Yoan Bonny35115654Good
Andy Diouf3649910Below expectations
Iwo Kaczmarski *3000Investment

Juventus (6 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jonathan David38179564Good
Jérémie Boga1568440Good
Loïs Openda3667610Fair
Edon Zhegrova3438600Fair
João Mário2226700Below expectations
Emil Holm1023200Below expectations

Lazio (3 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Kenneth Taylor18140032Excellent
Daniel Maldini1469021Fair
Petar Ratkov1922800Did not deliver

Lecce (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Nikola Štulić37172540Below expectations
Jamil Siebert38170710Fair
Riccardo Sottil25107212Below expectations
Walid Cheddira17100331Below expectations
Omri Gandelman2097821Fair
Francesco Camarda2369310Did not deliver
Corrie Ndaba3855200Fair
Christ-Owen Kouassi2222800Did not deliver
Alex Sala3718201Did not deliver
Sadik Fofana *149400Investment
Christian Früchtl31000Did not deliver
Jasper Samooja *38000Investment

Napoli (11 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Rasmus Højlund332761125Fair
Vanja Milinković-Savić36243001Good
Sam Beukema35168620Good
Miguel Gutiérrez34149011Fair
Kevin De Bruyne18116952Good
Alisson Santos1583640Good
Noa Lang2166812Good
Lorenzo Lucca2042010Below expectations
Giovane1734201Did not deliver
Luca Marianucci *2111801Investment
Luis Hasa *2000Investment

Parma (13 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Oliver Sørensen38183511Below expectations
Mariano Troilo34163610Fair
Edoardo Corvi38153000Did not deliver
Christian Ordoñez37109510Below expectations
Gabriel Strefezza14101522Fair
Patrick Cutrone2089110Did not deliver
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia1688203Good
Gaetano Oristanio2885710Did not deliver
Abdoulaye Ndiaye2078000Below expectations
Benjamin Cremaschi *2514400Investment
Franco Carboni *1612300Investment
Vicente Guaita8000Did not deliver
Jesse Bal0000Did not deliver

Pisa (28 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Antonio Caracciolo36307420Fair
Michel Aebischer36290012Fair
Samuele Angori38260402Below expectations
Stefano Moreo38232171Fair
Idrissa Touré36228610Below expectations
Adrian Šemper33225000Fair
Mehdi Léris37191223Below expectations
Matteo Tramoni33161522Below expectations
Arturo Calabresi37151600Did not deliver
Henrik Wendel Meister36151220Did not deliver
Marius Marin29129200Below expectations
M'Bala Nzola16105330Below expectations
Gabriele Piccinini3887200Did not deliver
Malthe Højholt3885600Did not deliver
Filip Stojilković1665900Did not deliver
Simone Scuffet3263000Did not deliver
Rosen Bozhinov1761400Below expectations
Nicolas Andrade3854000Below expectations
Felipe Loyola1653810Fair
Raúl Albiol2850201Good
Juan Cuadrado2350110Fair
Rafiu Durosinmi1543011Below expectations
Mateus Lusuardi *819900Investment
Daniel Denoon *1312300Investment
Lorran Lucas *2811310Investment
Samuel Iling Junior *1210700Investment
Calvin Stengs156100Did not deliver
Leonardo Sernicola0000Did not deliver

Sassuolo (21 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Jay Idzes36306300Fair
Arijanet Murić38288000Excellent
Sebastian Walukiewicz34285501Fair
Tarik Muharemović35283522Excellent
Ismael Koné36275660Good
Nemanja Matić34266911Good
Woyo Coulibaly30104800Did not deliver
Alieu Fadera3498021Fair
Ulisses Garcia1494312Fair
Aster Vranckx3169200Did not deliver
Fali Candé1851200Below expectations
M'Bala Nzola1546711Below expectations
Edoardo Iannoni3726910Below expectations
Walid Cheddira1924410Below expectations
Nicholas Pierini2214400Did not deliver
Darryl Bakola *1014401Investment
Andrea Ghion2900Did not deliver
Laurs Skjellerup *10900Investment
Cas Odenthal18100Did not deliver
Simone Verdi0000Did not deliver
Kevin Bonifazi0000Did not deliver

Torino (12 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Giovanni Simeone342245110Fair
Ardian Ismajli25191501Fair
Kristjan Asllani19113500Below expectations
Enzo Ebosse15111701Fair
Cyril Ngonge21101311Below expectations
Franco Israel3481000Did not deliver
Matteo Prati1561601Did not deliver
Luca Marianucci1557300Below expectations
Zakaria Aboukhlal2052000Did not deliver
Niels Nkounkou2536101Did not deliver
Sandro Kulenović1631001Below expectations
Faustino Anjorin2828600Did not deliver

Udinese (8 signings)

PlayerMatchesMinutesGoalsAssistsRating
Nicolò Zaniolo32226956Fair
Nicolò Bertola33178001Below expectations
Jakub Piotrowski35169711Fair
Alessandro Zanoli20129012Below expectations
Lennon Miller37101802Good
Adam Buksa2792630Fair
Saba Goglichidze1942200Did not deliver
Juan Arizala *1619700Investment